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Credibility, Commitment, and Regulation: Ex Ante Price Caps and Ex Post Interventions IN The Natural Resources Trap Private Investment without Public Commitment Edited by William Hogan and Federico Sturzenegger

1st July 2010 publication

The Natural Resources Trap
Private Investment without Public Commitment
Edited by William Hogan and Federico Sturzenegger

List of Contributors
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ix
 
Preface
William Hogan and Federico Sturzenegger
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xi
 
 
1 Contracts and Investment in Natural Resources
William Hogan, Federico Sturzenegger and Laurence Tai
1
 
I Theoretical Papers 45
 
2 Petroleum Contracts:
What Does Contract Theory Tell Us?
Philippe Aghion and Lucia Quesada
47
 
Commentary
Assisted by Lawrence H. Summers
61
 
3 Sovereign Theft:
Theory and Evidence about Sovereign Default and Expropriation
Michael Tomz and Mark J. Wright
69
 
Commentary: Expropriations, Defaults, and Financial Architecture
Jeromin Zettelmeyer
111
 
4 A Resource Belief Curse? Oil and Individualism
Rafael Di Tella, Juan Dubra and Robert J. MacCulloch
119
 
Commentary
George-Marios Angeletos
155
 
5 Optimal Resource Extraction Contracts under Threat of Expropriation
Eduardo Engel and Ronald Fischer
161
 
6 Denying the Temptation to GRAB
Nils Wernerfelt and Richard Zeckhauser
197
 
7 Dealing with Expropriations:
General Guidelines for Oil Production Contract
Roberto Rigobon
227
 
Commentary
Erich Muehlegger
255
 
8 Pricing Expropriation Risk in Natural Resource Contracts:
A Real Options Approach
Eduardo S. Schwartz and Anders B. Trolle
263
 
Commentary
Robert S. Pindyck
289
 
II Country Cases 291
 
9 Credibility, Commitment, and Regulation:
Ex Ante Price Caps and Ex Post Interventions
Dieter Helm
293
 
Commentary
Jeffrey A. Frankel
325
 
10 Hydrocarbon Policy, Shocks, and the Collective Imagination:
What Went Wrong in Bolivia?
Fernando H. Navajas
331
 
Commentary
Fernando Candida Castillo
359
 
11 Urgency and Betrayal:
Three Attempts to Foster Private Investment in Argentina’s Oil Industry
Nicolas Gadano
369
 
Commentary
Louis Wells
405
 
12 The Political Economy of Oil Contract Renegotiation in Venezuela
Osmel Manzano and Francisco Monaldi
409
 
vCommentary: Not Just a Distributional Matter
Ramón Espinasa
467
 
III Conclusion 485
 
Epilogue:
Populism and Natural Resources Workshop
Bijan Mossavar-Rahmani
487
 
Appendix
Populism and Natural Resources Workshop Participants List
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495
 
Index
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499